Category: market commentary

Inflation: Why Now And Will Bondholders Care?

Image by StockSnap from Pixabay As I sat down to write this month’s article, just one topic came to mind: inflation. Readers know that I just wrote on this theme. Yet, it remains topical and I have more to exploring to do. I’m specifically interested in why we’re seeing inflation now and does it even..

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Inflation Is Shortages And Thankfully Transitory

Image by kalhh from Pixabay I’ve got inflation on my mind these days. Who doesn’t? The U.S. 10-year treasury yield is up nearly 3-fold in the past year, stoked by fears of inflation. Commodities too are rocketing higher for similar reasons (in part). However, I’m not convinced these trends will hold. To me, the deck..

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Trading Time As A Fractal Experience

Created by Wolfgang Beyer with the program Ultra Fractal 3. – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=321973 I’m currently reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s brilliant book The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence (TMM). In it, Mandelbrot makes a case for discarding the bell curve when modeling financial markets, the bedrock of modern financial..

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Using GameStop To Uncover Biases

Image by Luiz Jorge de Miranda Neto- Luiz Jorge Artista from Pixabay 2021 sure picked up from where 2020 left off. As if things couldn’t get any crazier than a global pandemic, a group of retail investors seemingly organized an epic short squeeze in GameStop Corp’s stock (GME) so violent that it bankrupted a $12.5..

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Back To The Future With Private Investments

Image source Universal Studios via Wikipedia I often feel like the financial markets are crumbling around me. It’s not their price levels that trouble me, but their health. The capital markets are a tremendous boon to humanity. However, intrusive central bank and government policies seem to increasingly strangle the golden geese of capitalism and free..

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Will NYC Die? It’s Up To You

Image by Leonhard Niederwimmer from Pixabay “It’s up to you New York, New York” — Frank Sinatra, Theme From New York, New York The magnitude of change that the coronavirus (COVID) ushered in is truly astonishing. It’s upheaved industries, professions, and the very fabric of many lives. Among the apparent victims is New York City..

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“Burn It Down” Nihilism Is Harmful Too

Image by Omni Matryx from Pixabay These are truly fascinating times to be an investor. Markets seem to be going through a generational phase shift, and not necessarily for the best. I see a culture that is leading itself away from prosperity and towards the abyss, and I’m helpless to stop it. My emotions run..

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Reading The Market’s Postmodern Mind

Image by Mira Cosic from Pixabay No matter how you slice it, markets are human. This even applies to the “algos” as it’s we who write their mechanistic marching orders. Thus, understanding human behavior can be helpful in assessing and anticipating market moves. There’s no choice in the fact that we all need a philosophy..

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COVID-19 Catalyst For An Easy Game Against Passive Investing

Image by Free-Photos from Pixabay Passive investing has eaten active management’s lunch for decades. Its market share has grown steadily, capturing disproportionate amounts of inflows and allocation changes. Backed by scores of academic research, passive investing is pitched as a way to earn market returns with drastically lower fees. Why pay up for active managers..

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