Why I’m Waiting For The Fed To Pivot


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So far, my 2023 investing looks just like 2022: lots of waiting. I’m not waiting for a recession to pass or for …

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Pondering Investment Themes After The Russian Invasion


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So much for returning to normal. I had hoped that easing COVID restrictions would supercharge economic growth this year. Many affected industries and markets …

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Rising Rates And Volatility Might Create Future Opportunities


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Catching inflection points is the holy grail of trading. It’s what makes investing lore. From shorting the 2005 housing boom or skyrocketing technology stocks …

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Cheap Fed Liquidity Forestalls Deleveraging & Entices Debt


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Powell’s Real Choice: His Reputation Or Esteem—Part 3

The following is Part 3 in a series outlining my belief that central banks and fiat currency …

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