“Don’t Fight The Fed”! This was arguably the most successful investment strategy over the past ten years. There was also no easier way to tarnish one’s reputation and career than to ignore this profitable slogan, as many respectable money managers learned. However, given my assessment of the economic landscape and understanding of the bank’s inner..
Image by Thomas Müller from Pixabay George Soros is about as close to a household name as it gets for a hedge fund manager. He’s legendary for his billions, “breaking” the Bank of England, and is even an alleged mastermind of left-wing, political conspiracy theories. For me, though, Mr. Soros’s theory of reflexivity is his..
Image by RayMark sourced from pixabay Powell’s Real Choice: His Reputation Or Esteem—Part 3 The following is Part 3 in a series outlining my belief that central banks and fiat currency regimes ultimately lead to increasing amounts of leverage. Part 1 can be found here and Part 2 here. Over the past few months I..
Image by bobbyrusso sourced from pixabay I joined RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts on his show to discuss some unique views of central banks, capitalism, and modern monetary policy. Please note, that the opinions expressed are solely my own and do not reflect those of my current or any former employer. You can..
Image by QuinceMedia sourced from pixabay Powell’s Real Choice: His Reputation Or Esteem—Part 2 The following is Part 2 in a series discussing my belief that fiat currency regimes with central banks ultimately result in increasing amounts of leverage. Part 1 can be found here. I have to admit, I was about to “pull the..
Image by Gerd Altmann sourced from pixabay Banking’s History Reveals An Impossible Decision Market participants ascribed a lot of importance to the December meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Many expected (and even plead) the committee to take a dovish stance. When the Federal Reserve (Fed) disappointed, markets continued to liquidate. Did the..
Image by Steve Buissinne sourced from pixabay There was a period of time when I was obsessed with home improvement shows. I’d watch almost anything on the subject: Backyard makeovers, kitchen remodels, gut renovations, you name it. It’s fascinating to see what a skilled craftsman can do with the proper tools. In fact, if..
Image by Andrea Wilkinson sourced from pixabay Let’s face it; we investors are all after the same thing: return. While individual risk tolerances and expectations might vary, the purpose of investing is universal: to preserve and/or increase wealth using that which we already have. It’s a distinctly human activity. While there may seem like..
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, The Integrating Investor estimates I recently contributed a guest post to Daniel Lacalle’s website. In it, I discuss the significance of this chart which is my attempt to apply a risk management framework to sovereign bond investing. You can find the article in its entirety here.
Image by Arek Socha sourced from pixabay It’s no secret that emerging markets (EM) are in a bit of a rough patch. While the unfortunate events in Turkey garnered most of the attention initially, nearly anything related to EM has slid in value. What exactly is going on here? Is this just another acute crisis..