Author: Seth Levine

Superforecasting A Bear Market

Image by rawpixel from Pixabay There’s an ongoing debate about whether or not the U.S. is approaching a recession. As an investor, this question is of utmost importance. It is precisely at these times when fortunes can be made and lost. There’s no shortage of pundits with strong opinions in both the affirmative and negative..

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Improving Emotional Intelligence With DIVA

Image by geralt from Pixabay We investors live in a world of doubt and uncertainty. It’s impossible to know how well a trade will work out at inception no matter how good the analysis or signal. I’ve taken countless rides on emotional rollercoasters over the years—oscillating between extreme nausea and terror when big trades went..

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Recovering Perma-Bear At A Crossroad

Image by a_roesler from Pixabay … cropped Hello, my name is Seth and I’m a recovering perma-bear. (Hi Seth.) It’s true that I used to think that doom was inevitably just another quarter or two away. I was hyper-aware of the business cycle and the encroachment of government into the free markets. Thus, I concluded..

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Investing On Persistent Foundations

Image by David Mark from Pixabay The volatility in the investment markets over the past few months has been truly astonishing. Prices are violently fluctuating and the range of traditional volatility indicators like the VIX have exploded. Just look at the daily moves of the popular U.S. stock market indices for example. While it’s generally..

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The Opportunity Of Misplaced Inflation

Image by Csaba Nagy from Pixabay The global economy is apparently facing a significant problem. Inflation’s gone missing! Central bankers can’t seem to stoke it no matter how deftly they act. Neither lowering interest rates to zero (and less) nor endless amounts of Quantitative Easing (QE) appear to make any difference. This, we’re told, is..

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Podcast Interview With The Market Huddle

Image by bobbyrusso sourced from pixabay I joined Patrick Ceresna and Kevin Muir on The Market Huddle for a wide-ranging conversation covering all things macro. Be sure to stick around for the extended interview where we discussed some truly controversial subjects like reflexivity, inflation, the Eurodollar system, bank bailouts, and more. It was a lot..

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To Fight The Fed Or Not

“Don’t Fight The Fed”! This was arguably the most successful investment strategy over the past ten years. There was also no easier way to tarnish one’s reputation and career than to ignore this profitable slogan, as many respectable money managers learned. However, given my assessment of the economic landscape and understanding of the bank’s inner..

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Reflexivity Here In The Yield Curve & Everywhere

Image by Thomas Müller from Pixabay George Soros is about as close to a household name as it gets for a hedge fund manager. He’s legendary for his billions, “breaking” the Bank of England, and is even an alleged mastermind of left-wing, political conspiracy theories. For me, though, Mr. Soros’s theory of reflexivity is his..

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Cheap Fed Liquidity Forestalls Deleveraging & Entices Debt

Image by RayMark sourced from pixabay Powell’s Real Choice: His Reputation Or Esteem—Part 3 The following is Part 3 in a series outlining my belief that central banks and fiat currency regimes ultimately lead to increasing amounts of leverage. Part 1 can be found here and Part 2 here. Over the past few months I..

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Podcast Interview With Lance Roberts

Image by bobbyrusso sourced from pixabay I joined RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts on his show to discuss some unique views of central banks, capitalism, and modern monetary policy. Please note, that the opinions expressed are solely my own and do not reflect those of my current or any former employer. You can..

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All comments made on The Integrating Investor express personal opinions and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations to purchase or sell any investment, product or service, nor should the content be relied upon for making investment decisions. Commentaries are for informational purposes only. Please do your own work before investing – fundamental, technical, quantitative or whatever your preferred method may be – as any action you take as a result of reading the content of this blog is ultimately your own responsibility.
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