Category: framework

Deconstructing Bitcoin’s Zeal Into Investible Theses

Image by Miloslav Hamřík from Pixabay It’s all Bitcoin all day in my Twitter feed these days. Quiet are the Tesla bears, the Fed-obsessed, and even the gold bugs. The HODLers are out in full force celebrating Bitcoin’s parabolic, seven-fold resurgence from the ashes of $5,000 (as of the morning of this writing). Frankly, I’m..

Read more

How I Process Ideas Into Investments

Image by MustangJoe from Pixabay Investing is incredibly hard. Mapping observations to security price movements is complex to say the least. Often, the relationships governing these moves are unknown. Yet, this is the investor’s task. I’ve used this blog as a tool for exploring some of these connections. It’s been incredibly rewarding. Not only has..

Read more

Will NYC Die? It’s Up To You

Image by Leonhard Niederwimmer from Pixabay “It’s up to you New York, New York” — Frank Sinatra, Theme From New York, New York The magnitude of change that the coronavirus (COVID) ushered in is truly astonishing. It’s upheaved industries, professions, and the very fabric of many lives. Among the apparent victims is New York City..

Read more

“Burn It Down” Nihilism Is Harmful Too

Image by Omni Matryx from Pixabay These are truly fascinating times to be an investor. Markets seem to be going through a generational phase shift, and not necessarily for the best. I see a culture that is leading itself away from prosperity and towards the abyss, and I’m helpless to stop it. My emotions run..

Read more

Reading The Market’s Postmodern Mind

Image by Mira Cosic from Pixabay No matter how you slice it, markets are human. This even applies to the “algos” as it’s we who write their mechanistic marching orders. Thus, understanding human behavior can be helpful in assessing and anticipating market moves. There’s no choice in the fact that we all need a philosophy..

Read more

Collateral, Leverage, & Volatility: The What, How, & When To Invest

Image by Peter Kaul from Pixabay There’s nothing like a crisis to bring foundational investing principles to the fore. They lay all my triumphs and tribulations bear for me to see. Evasion is no longer possible. Assumptions, rationalizations, and truths are crystallized as profits and losses. This turbulence, though, is a crucible for learning. For..

Read more

Commoditizing My Framework For A New Paradigm

Image by Steve Bidmead from Pixabay When it comes to investing it’s never different this time; nor, however, is it ever the same. This difficult-to-navigate paradox creates a scarcity of longevity. Today’s persistently low yield environment has upped the ante and put many marquis names out of business. To be fair, alpha’s been elusive of..

Read more

The Unsurprising Repo Surprise

Image by Nina Garman from Pixabay Have you heard? There’s trouble in the repo markets. Even casual investment market participants probably know that something’s amiss. While only a handful of investors participate in repo, this obscure corner of the investment markets rests at the epicenter of the financial system—hence all the attention. The turmoil caught..

Read more

Why Are We So Scared

Image by OpenClipart-Vectors from Pixabay I always find this time of year to be self-reflective. Year-end provides a natural point for critiquing past performance and fitting it into a broader investing context. These holidays in particular have a way of foisting this perspective upon me, and with deep meaning. As a parent of two young..

Read more

Superforecasting A Bear Market

Image by rawpixel from Pixabay There’s an ongoing debate about whether or not the U.S. is approaching a recession. As an investor, this question is of utmost importance. It is precisely at these times when fortunes can be made and lost. There’s no shortage of pundits with strong opinions in both the affirmative and negative..

Read more

Social media & sharing icons powered by UltimatelySocial