Why I’m Waiting For The Fed To Pivot


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So far, my 2023 investing looks just like 2022: lots of waiting. I’m not waiting for a recession to pass or for …

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Markets Are Reteaching Centralization’s Dangers


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Note from the author: I use the terms stability and instability throughout this article. However, resiliency and fragility, respectively, more accurately describe the phenomena …

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Pondering Investment Themes After The Russian Invasion


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So much for returning to normal. I had hoped that easing COVID restrictions would supercharge economic growth this year. Many affected industries and markets …

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Rising Rates And Volatility Might Create Future Opportunities


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Catching inflection points is the holy grail of trading. It’s what makes investing lore. From shorting the 2005 housing boom or skyrocketing technology stocks …

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Trading Time As A Fractal Experience


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Created by Wolfgang Beyer with the program Ultra Fractal 3. – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=321973

I’m currently reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s brilliant book The Misbehavior of Markets: A …

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Using GameStop To Uncover Biases


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2021 sure picked up from where 2020 left off. As if things couldn’t get any crazier than …

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How I Process Ideas Into Investments


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Investing is incredibly hard. Mapping observations to security price movements is complex to say the least. Often, the relationships governing these moves are unknown. …

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Collateral, Leverage, & Volatility: The What, How, & When To Invest


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There’s nothing like a crisis to bring foundational investing principles to the fore. They lay all my triumphs and tribulations bear for me …

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Investing On Persistent Foundations


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The volatility in the investment markets over the past few months has been truly astonishing. Prices are violently fluctuating and the range of …

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Disintegrated Thoughts: ECB Volatility, Business Building, Speculation, & Judo


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For this post, I’d like to offer a few “Disintegrated Thoughts” on some things I’ve been thinking about in the investment markets.  These include:

The ECB and volatility …

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